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In 200102, there was a slight improvement
in the number of underprepared teachers in the California classrooms
although the level remains at 14 percent of the teacher workforce.
The total number of underprepared teaches in the workforce decreased
slightly as did the number of first-year teachers who are underprepared.
In 200102, 49 percent of first-year teachers were underprepared,
down slightly from 51 percent the previous year. Still, nearly one
of every two first-year teachers had not completed a preparation
program and obtained a full credential before beginning to teach.
Although these modest one-year improvements
are encouraging, the gap between the supply of and demand for credentialed
teachers is expected to increase consistently over the next decade.
Our long-term teacher workforce projections
suggest that the gap between the need for trained teachers and the
available supply will grow significantly up to approximately
20 percent of the teaching force over the rest of the decade. While
our projections are estimates based on trends and hampered by the
lack of a teacher
data system, they have held up well since our first report in
1999.
It remains to be seen whether these underprepared
teachers will be mostly teachers on emergency permits as
is the case now or in organized efforts designed to accelerate
their full certification, such as intern
programs. In any case, future efforts to increase the number
of fully trained teachers clearly will need to expand dramatically
to overcome the teacher shortage, an unlikely prospect in budget-cutting
years.
It should be noted that our projections of teacher
supply include out-of-state
teachers who were credentialed in another state but have relocated
to California. Our projections do not take into account out-of-field
teachers those who are teaching in a subject area for
which they are not credentialed.
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